Canada vs Bosnia and Herzegovina 1-1 World Cup 2026 recap
Pool B at Toronto Stadium, Toronto. Kickoff is listed as 2026-06-13 03:00 Beijing time and 2026-06-12 15:00 venue local time.
Status
Finished 1-1. This page is generated from the static fallback package updated at 2026-06-18T04:00:54.466Z.
Game intelligence brief
Both teams are profiled here with the confirmed result, scorer timeline when open references provide it, and the same strength model used before kickoff. The model score gap was 16 points, with the stronger preview profile ahead by that margin.
Result recap
The sides drew 1-1. The public event feed lists 2 scoring actions, starting with C. Larin at 11'. The recap keeps the final score beside the strength profile so readers can compare what happened with the preview model, rather than treating the scoreline as an isolated result.
Agent read and confidence notes
Canada hold the stronger model lane at index 68.5, while Bosnia and Herzegovina still have relevant context through venue adaptation can move the match.
| Confidence score | 81 |
|---|---|
| Late-news sensitivity | low |
| Source-backed late signals | 0 |
| Squad completeness | 100% |
| Calibration use | rolling finished-match audit |
Top decision drivers
- Team qualityhome · contribution 1.8 · ratings+squad+rank
- Chance creation vs defensehome · contribution 0.7 · ratings.attack/execution vs opponent defense/control
- Venue adaptationhome · contribution 0.5 · venue climate profile
- Travel and resthome · contribution 0.1 · confederation travel proxy + rest days
Watch points
- Controlled venue should lower weather volatility.
- Early scoring would make the strength lane clearer faster.
- Lineups, injuries, suspensions, and tactical reports remain neutral until a source-backed signal is added.
- Largest swing factors: Team quality, Chance creation vs defense, Venue adaptation.
- Lineups, injuries, suspensions, and tactical reports remain neutral until a source-backed signal is added.
Scenario notes
- Roof or controlled conditions reduce weather noise and favor cleaner execution.
- Travel and rest imbalance is large enough to affect rotation and second-half legs.
No source-backed late lineup, injury, suspension, or tactical signal is active in the current package.
Scoring timeline
- 11' - C. Larin · home · Goal
- 21' - Jovo Lukić · away · Goal
Side-by-side rating
| Signal | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| Team page | Canada | Bosnia and Herzegovina |
| Power score | 73 | 57 |
| FIFA rank | 30 | 64 |
| Attack | 71 | 59 |
| Control | 75 | 47 |
| Defense | 74 | 52 |
| Depth | 82 | 68 |
| Form | 58 | 58 |
| Execution | 75 | 58 |
Tactical keys
- Team quality: Canada. Radar, ranking, key-player impact and squad experience.
- Chance creation vs defense: Canada. Compares attack, execution, control and key-player impact against opponent defense, control, depth and current form.
- Venue adaptation: Canada. temperate urban, altitude 76m, roof/controlled conditions.
- Travel and rest: Canada. Travel load, rest days and rotation depth before kickoff.
- Style matchup: Canada. Controlled venue reduces weather variance and rewards cleaner possession.
- Late team news: even. No source-backed late lineup, injury, suspension, or tactical signal is active in the current package.
Key players to watch
- Larin Cyle - Forward. Impact 96. Caps 91, goals 31.
- David Jonathan - Forward. Impact 96. Caps 78, goals 39.
- Davies Alphonso - Defender. Impact 96. Caps 58, goals 15.
- Dzeko Edin - Forward. Impact 96. Caps 148, goals 73.
- Demirovic Ermedin - Forward. Impact 82. Caps 41, goals 4.
- Kolasinac Sead - Defender. Impact 81. Caps 66, goals 0.
Related coverage
- Qatar vs SwitzerlandFinished 1-1 · 06-14, 03:00
- Switzerland vs Bosnia and HerzegovinaScheduled · 06-19, 03:00
- Canada vs QatarScheduled · 06-19, 06:00
- Bosnia and Herzegovina vs QatarScheduled · 06-25, 03:00
- Switzerland vs CanadaScheduled · 06-25, 03:00
- All match analysis pagesBrowse every fixture preview and recap.
- Tournament structureGroups, standings, third-place race, and knockout path.
Data notes
Score and event rows come from the current open-reference package. If a reference later revises a scorer or minute, the dynamic page updates from the live worker first. Read the source notes, editorial policy, and site discovery hub for the full page map.