Sweden vs Tunisia 5-1 World Cup 2026 recap
Pool F at Estadio Monterrey, Monterrey (Guadalupe). Kickoff is listed as 2026-06-15 10:00 Beijing time and 2026-06-14 20:00 venue local time.
Status
Finished 5-1. This page is generated from the static fallback package updated at 2026-06-18T04:00:54.466Z.
Game intelligence brief
Both teams are profiled here with the confirmed result, scorer timeline when open references provide it, and the same strength model used before kickoff. The model score gap was 14 points, with the stronger preview profile ahead by that margin.
Result recap
Home won 5-1. The public event feed lists 6 scoring actions, starting with Y.Ayari at 7'. The recap keeps the final score beside the strength profile so readers can compare what happened with the preview model, rather than treating the scoreline as an isolated result.
Agent read and confidence notes
Sweden hold the stronger model lane at index 55.8, while Tunisia still have relevant context through balance lane remains material.
| Confidence score | 69 |
|---|---|
| Late-news sensitivity | medium |
| Source-backed late signals | 0 |
| Squad completeness | 100% |
| Calibration use | rolling finished-match audit |
Top decision drivers
- Team qualityhome · contribution 1.5 · ratings+squad+rank
- Chance creation vs defensehome · contribution 0.4 · ratings.attack/execution vs opponent defense/control
- Venue adaptationaway · contribution -0.3 · venue climate profile
- Travel and restEven · contribution 0 · confederation travel proxy + rest days
Watch points
- hot dry open-air conditions can raise fatigue variance.
- If the first half stays level, the balance lane remains structurally important.
- Lineups, injuries, suspensions, and tactical reports remain neutral until a source-backed signal is added.
- Largest swing factors: Team quality, Chance creation vs defense, Venue adaptation.
- Lineups, injuries, suspensions, and tactical reports remain neutral until a source-backed signal is added.
Scenario notes
- High heat or humidity can lower pressing efficiency and raise late-game variance.
- Close team profiles keep the balance channel structurally important.
No source-backed late lineup, injury, suspension, or tactical signal is active in the current package.
Scoring timeline
- 7' - Y.Ayari · home · Goal
- 30' - A. Isak · home · Goal
- 43' - O. Rekik · away · Goal
- 60' - V. Gyokeres · home · Goal
- 86' - M. Svanberg · home · Goal
- 90+6' - Y. Ayari · home · Goal
Side-by-side rating
| Signal | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| Team page | Sweden | Tunisia |
| Power score | 68 | 54 |
| FIFA rank | 38 | 45 |
| Attack | 59 | 42 |
| Control | 55 | 56 |
| Defense | 58 | 57 |
| Depth | 71 | 71 |
| Form | 95 | 38 |
| Execution | 67 | 59 |
Tactical keys
- Team quality: Sweden. Radar, ranking, key-player impact and squad experience.
- Chance creation vs defense: Sweden. Compares attack, execution, control and key-player impact against opponent defense, control, depth and current form.
- Venue adaptation: Tunisia. hot dry, altitude 540m, open-air conditions.
- Travel and rest: even. Travel load, rest days and rotation depth before kickoff.
- Style matchup: Sweden. Open-air venue keeps fatigue, weather, and game-state volatility in the model.
- Late team news: even. No source-backed late lineup, injury, suspension, or tactical signal is active in the current package.
Key players to watch
- Isak Alexander - Forward. Impact 96. Caps 58, goals 17.
- Gyokeres Viktor - Forward. Impact 96. Caps 33, goals 20.
- Lindelof Victor - Defender. Impact 86. Caps 76, goals 3.
- Skhiri Ellyes - Midfielder. Impact 91. Caps 83, goals 4.
- Talbi Montassar - Defender. Impact 85. Caps 64, goals 4.
- Abdi Ali - Defender. Impact 84. Caps 46, goals 7.
Related coverage
- Netherlands vs JapanFinished 2-2 · 06-15, 04:00
- Netherlands vs SwedenScheduled · 06-21, 01:00
- Tunisia vs JapanScheduled · 06-21, 12:00
- Japan vs SwedenScheduled · 06-26, 07:00
- Tunisia vs NetherlandsScheduled · 06-26, 07:00
- All match analysis pagesBrowse every fixture preview and recap.
- Tournament structureGroups, standings, third-place race, and knockout path.
Data notes
Score and event rows come from the current open-reference package. If a reference later revises a scorer or minute, the dynamic page updates from the live worker first. Read the source notes, editorial policy, and site discovery hub for the full page map.